Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Weather Forecasts

Between personally wanting to spend a lot of time outside and my need to know about weather conditions at work, I spend a lot of time looking at weather forecasts. Most days I look at several different forecasts several times a day. I took a weather forecasting class back in my ski patrol days and the instructor said, "If you aren't checking the forecast every 6 hours, you don't know #$&*." Since then I have made it a habit to check the forecast frequently.

One of my favorite forecasters is Joel Gratz at Opensnow.com. I just checked out his most recent forecast for A-Basin. Right now it looks like a chance of moisture over the weekend and, finally, some colder temperatures next week. I will keep checking multiple times every day. There is something out there to pay attention to and to get interested in. I like it.

32 comments:

Anonymous said...

1st!!

Anonymous said...

Joel is great, but he doesn't conjure snow from the abyss like you Al. Magic.

. said...

In a month, we will have forgotten all about this awesome weather we are having right now...

Anonymous said...

what's wrong with you people? It is mid october and the east wall is not open. I am tired of this :-}

Anonymous said...

Good info. I'm sure looking forward to Sidley Whiplash's post.

Anonymous said...

Joel will be speaking at Colorado Mountain College in Breckenridge on the 12th of November; you just convinced me to go! My fingers are crossed for some productive snowmaking conditions on Monday!
Taylor

Anonymous said...

Thanks for all the updates Al. Once you start making snow, how much of the mountain will be open for skiing and what kind of base do expect for opening day?

Anonymous said...

Any chance we can get the webcams working? Mine haven't refreshed for a few days even with pressing F5.

Dan Scannura said...

Joel and OpenSnow are the best. I just signed up for the all access pass - support these guys, they do great work!!

Anonymous said...

1 run (High noon). 18 inches of base and very hardpacked conditions that may be referred as icy to a lot of people

Anonymous said...

snowmaking should begin this weekend according to the forecast

Anonymous said...

Wild prediction - 18" base opening day.

Davi Costa said...

Can't wait anymore... need... snow...

Anonymous said...

So if I said I booked a trip there with a buddy to snowboard the 23-26th, you'd all say?

(I'm thinking it rhymes with Your Ducked)

I looked at the historical opening days of the past 5 years and the latest one I saw was Oct 18th opening day, I'm scared they haven't even started blowing yet!!!! Agghhghghhhgh

Bobby Cyr said...

They started last year in the 2nd and opened the 15th. If they start tonight you MIGHT get lucky. Its looking like a late start to the season.

Unknown said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
COsouthpaw said...

Arapahoe Basin Openings
10/17/14
10/13/13
10/17/12
10/13/11
10/25/10
10/9/09
10/15/08
10/10/07
10/13/06

chris corwin said...

Fun long range forecast has 23.5 in of snow falling the night of 11/6 (accuweather.com), so it may be a slow start but it'll pick up rather quickly if this holds

Unknown said...

Luckily we have year round glacier skiing. Hope for a resort to open and if that fails enjoy some of the other things colorado provides.

Anonymous said...

Prediction: Latest opening ever! If NOAA's future forecast of 8-14 days holds, keep the bikes and climbing gear handy as it ain't over folks. Not by a long shot.
Yes, snow will fall on Sun-Tues but all will be gone by Friday the 23rd. Then we wait to see how the SECOND week of November plays out. Agreed, it can turn on fast, but for now, it's a slow roll....

Anonymous said...

Is the only run going to be the "high noon" from the top of the quad chair, or id the upper section coming down to it open also?

Anonymous said...

How about that. The culvert looks FIXED. Excellent work.

COsouthpaw said...

Historically, it's just High Noon that opens on opening day, not Lenawee Face/Dercum's Gulch. (So only mid-mountain down.)

Anonymous said...

Looks like Sunday and Monday nights have a possibility of low enough temperatures. Tuesday night is looking best, with Joel Gratz expecting some natural snow as well that night!

Anonymous said...

All you new comers to Colorado do realize that before snow-making (2002), typical opening was around Thanksgiving at best.

All of these early October openings in recent years have been due to the perfect combo of luck in early cold weather and the hard work of the Basin.

Winter will come, chill out.

Anonymous said...

Let's not forget that the best snow year was their latest opening in that list

Anonymous said...

This person is exactly correct. Sixty-ninth winter coming up for me here in Colorado.

Unknown said...

Ski or snowboard on the east coast... That's icy.I'll take hard packed any day

Mike Lynch said...

I wish the Canadian dollar was stronger this year so I could have purchased the epic pass...I loved snowboarding in Colorado last year...instead I moved to British Columbia going to miss Co.

Mike Lynch said...

Ski or snowboard on the east coast... That's icy.I'll take hard packed any day

Matthew Denniston said...

Stevens pass has a similar vibe down in wa.

But you won't be hurting for snow in BC.

Also check out Baker right on your southern coast if you do take a trip south.

Anonymous said...

@COsouthpaw where did you find that list of historical openings?